Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by six points among registered voters (50 to 44%), up from a one-point lead in December, as per a new poll.
According to a Quinnipiac University survey issued on Wednesday, the president is outperforming his predecessor among women voters, leading by 58 to 36 percent. In December, Mr Biden had a substantially smaller margin among women, 53 to 41 percent.
“The gender demographic reveals a tale worth following. Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said in a statement that Biden’s head-to-head tie with Trump had morphed into a tiny lead in recent weeks, aided by female voters.
The same hypothetical 2024 general election poll released on December 20 was rated too close to call, with Mr Biden leading by 47 to 46 percent.
Partisanship remains high, with 96% of Democrats backing Mr. Biden and 2% supporting Mr. Trump, while 91% of Republicans favor the former president and 7% support his successor. Mr Biden leads independents by 52 to 40 percent.
Between January 25 and 29, the poll surveyed 1,650 self-identified registered voters from around the country.
Mr. Biden’s growing lead among female voters comes after Mr Trump was forced to pay writer E Jean Carroll $83.3 million in damages in the second defamation trial against the former president.
In her 2019 memoir, Ms Carroll accused Mr Trump of raping her in a Manhattan department store dressing room in the mid-1990s. Mr Trump strongly denied the charges and constantly ridiculed Ms Carroll.
In his first defamation trial, Mr Trump was found liable for sexual abuse. Judge Kaplan determined that the first jury’s decision would apply to the second defamation trial, which concluded last week, leaving the second jury merely to decide on damages.
Among men, 53% prefer Trump, while 42% support Biden. In December, the figures were 51-41 percent.
In a hypothetical race with independent and third-party candidates, the new poll shows Mr. Biden receiving 39%, Mr Trump receiving 37%, former Democrat and independent candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr receiving 14%, independent Cornel West receiving 3%, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receiving 2%.
Meanwhile, Nikki Haley, Mr Trump’s only surviving competitor for the Republican nomination, leads Mr Biden by five points in a prospective confrontation, 47 to 42%.
The Republican primary survey puts Mr Trump at 77% and Ms Haley at 21%. On the Democratic side, Mr Biden leads with 78%, followed by author Marianne Williamson with 11% and Minnesota Representative Dean Phillips with 6%.
Mr Biden received his highest approval rating since June of last year, but the majority of people continue to regard him unfavorably, with 41% approval and 55% disapproval.
On his management of the economy, 42% approve and 57% disagree.
“As inflation fears cool and the bruising campaign heats up, President Biden rides a welcome small uptick in confidence in his handling of the economy,” Malloy said in a statement.
Regarding the Russian invasion of Ukraine, 47% approve of Mr Biden’s handling of the issue, while 46% disagree.
In general, 37% support Mr Biden’s foreign policy, while 57% oppose it.
Mr Biden’s weakest areas are the conflict in Gaza between Israel and Hamas, as well as the situation on the US-Mexico border.
34% favor of Mr. Biden’s handling of the Gaza war, while 56% disapprove, and 28% approve of his management of the border, while 63% disagree.
Following an attack in Jordan that killed three US servicemen, 84% of voters are concerned that the United States will become involved in a Middle Eastern conflict.
“Are the winds of war swirling in the Middle Eastern sands?” “As American troops face deadly fire from terrorist proxies, the conflict footprint grows, and so do the concerns of a large majority of voters,” Mr Malloy stated.
The questioned respondents were given a list of ten topics and asked which was the most essential for the country: 24% indicated protecting democracy, 20% said the economy, and 20% named immigration.
The gap between the parties is only widening: 12 percent of Republicans and 39 percent of Democrats ranked democracy as their top issue, while 38 percent of Republicans ranked immigration as their most important issue; among Democrats, only the economy (12%) and democracy reached double figures.
Among independents, 23% said maintaining democracy was most essential, 19% said immigration and 18% said the economy was most important.